An international team of researchers has identified a quantum counterpart to Bayes’ rule. The likelihood you assign to an event is influenced by what you already believe about the surrounding ...

The probability in weather forecasts leaves many people perplexed on if, or when, they should continue with plans, cancel or delay. As summer ramps up across North America, millions of travelers, ...

Chris Wiggins, an associate professor of applied mathematics at Columbia University, offers this explanation. A patient goes to see a doctor. The doctor performs a test with 99 percent ...

Epistemic decision theory integrates formal models of rational belief with the processes of decision‐making under uncertainty. It addresses how agents should revise their credences in light of new and ...