So far there have been 143 matches played, 97 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 67.8%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games ...

Here are the predictions for Round 19. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Team Ratings for Round 18 The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Here are the predictions for Week 17. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team ...

Here are the predictions for Round 11. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team ...

I do also want to emphasize that no-one expert thinks this is a proposal to stop collecting data for the government. Administrative data already marks when you are born or die, when you enter or leave ...

Here are the predictions for the Semi-Finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away ...